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FinancialWeatherMCP serverFirst audited Nov 13, 2026

Vatic prediction markets

Crowd forecasts on sports, politics, finance and crypto: live odds, outcomes, Ask the crowd.The vendor's description, from its MCP Registry listing.

Passed, with 1 warningAudited Nov 13, 2026
  • Warning: 22 of 22 tools do not say whether they can change things.

Nothing failed, but there is something to know or fix. Public audit: we connect as an AI client would, list the tools and check what they say. We do not run them. How we audit

Does it work?
YesConnected in 187 ms.
Sign-up?
None neededIt answered without any account or key.
Can it change things?
Doesn't sayIts tools do not say whether they only read, so treat them as able to change things.
Endpointhttps://vaticmarkets.io/api/mcp

Website Streamable HTTP · protocol 2025-11-25 · server version 1.0.0

What we checked, the evidence, and the tools it offers.

What we checked

Security

  • Passed: Connections are encrypted (HTTPS).

  • Passed: No hidden instructions found in tool text.

Safety labels

  • Warning: 22 of 22 tools do not say whether they can change things.

    MCP lets a server label each tool as read-only or destructive, so clients can ask the user before risky calls. Unlabelled tools are treated as able to change things.

    • trending_markets
    • get_market
    • recent_resolutions
    • crowd_accuracy
    • creator_record
    • live_market
    • market_history
    • live_markets
    • and 14 more

Tools

  • Passed: 22 tools listed.

  • Passed: Every tool describes its inputs with a valid schema.

Protocol

  • Passed: The MCP handshake works (Streamable HTTP).

  • Passed: Protocol version 2025-11-25 (latest).

  • Passed: Unknown requests are refused.

Connection

  • Passed: The server responds.

Tools (22)

As the server describes them. The labels are the server's own: it says whether each tool only reads or can change things.

  • trending_marketsMost played open Vatic prediction markets with rounded crowd probabilities (up to 15 minutes old). Free. Probabilities are the share of free Vpoints (play money, no cash value) on each side.Doesn't say
  • get_marketSummary of one Vatic market: question, status, rounded probability, players, outcome when resolved. Free.Doesn't say
  • recent_resolutionsVatic markets resolved in the last 7 days: outcome, crowd odds at the close, whether the favourite won. Free.Doesn't say
  • crowd_accuracyHow accurate Vatic's crowd is: calibration bands, Brier score and how often the favourite won, by category. Free.Doesn't say
  • creator_recordA Vatic creator's public record: markets created and resolved, and how often the crowd called their markets right. Free.Doesn't say
  • live_marketExact live crowd probability, pools and players of one Vatic market. Costs $0.002 (x402, USDC). Probabilities are the share of free Vpoints (play money, no cash value) on each side.Doesn't say
  • market_historyFull timestamped probability history of one Vatic market (a point after every call). Costs $0.01 (x402, USDC).Doesn't say
  • live_marketsLive, exact crowd probabilities of up to 100 open Vatic markets. Costs $0.01 (x402, USDC).Doesn't say
  • resolutions_feedVerified outcomes of resolved Vatic markets with sources and exact final probabilities, any date range. Costs $0.01 (x402, USDC).Doesn't say
  • ask_the_crowdAsk Vatic's human crowd: publish a Yes/No or multiple-choice prediction market (after an automatic safety and clarity check; a rejection is not charged). Players forecast it for free. Returns the mar…Doesn't say
  • ask_the_crowd_prioritySame as ask_the_crowd, and the market is pinned in the players' lobby for 24 hours so more people answer sooner. Refused (not charged) when all priority slots are taken. Costs $1.00 (x402, USDC).Doesn't say
  • market_summaryAI summary of one Vatic market: where the crowd stands, its 24-hour and 7-day change, the biggest moves and a short written summary (how the odds moved, not why). Costs $0.02 (x402, USDC).Doesn't say
  • alert_subscribeWebhook alerts for 30 days, sent to your https address and signed with a secret you get once. type market_move (market_id, threshold in points, default 15): fires when the odds move that much and whe…Doesn't say
  • alert_statusYour alert and its last deliveries. Free with its manage_token.Doesn't say
  • alert_cancelCancel your alert. Free with its manage_token.Doesn't say
  • arena_leaderboardVatic's agent forecasting arena: AI agents ranked by Brier score on resolved markets, next to the human crowd on the same markets. Free.Doesn't say
  • arena_agentAn arena agent's public record: seasons, Brier scores and scored forecasts. Free.Doesn't say
  • arena_registerEnter Vatic's agent forecasting arena for one 30-day season. New agents give a name and get a secret agent_key (shown once); returning agents give their agent_key to enter the new season. Forecasts a…Doesn't say
  • arena_forecastSend or update your arena forecast on an open Vatic market. probability = chance of Yes (0-100) for yes_no markets; probabilities = { option_id: 0-100 } adding up to 100 for multiple choice. Free wit…Doesn't say
  • arena_my_recordYour arena record, including open forecasts. Free with your agent_key.Doesn't say
  • read_my_questionLive crowd probability of a market you created with ask_the_crowd. Free with your resolve_token.Doesn't say
  • resolve_my_questionResolve a market you created with ask_the_crowd, with a source for the outcome. Players are paid out at once and can report a wrong result. Free with your resolve_token.Doesn't say

Audit history

  1. Nov 13Warnings

What we sent

Every request in this audit, with the answer and how long it took. We never send credentials and never call a tool.

RequestAnswerTime
initializeHTTP 200187 ms
initializedHTTP 202122 ms
tools/listHTTP 20061 ms
unknown-methodHTTP 20085 ms

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